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Execution and Pipeline Update

NCGCL · Execution & Pipeline Update

NCGCL · Execution & Pipeline Update

Guarantee Deployment · Pipeline Momentum · Developmental Impact · March 2025

Portfolio Snapshot PKR 2.5B+ Deployed
PKR 10B+ Pipeline
9 Partner FIs
4 Live Transactions
March 2025
PKR 2.9B
Total Capital
Deployed
PKR 10.7B
Active
Pipeline
9
Partner
Financial Inst.
4
Live
Transactions
PKR 2.5B+
Guarantees deployed across 4 live transactions
3.5×
Average leverage ratio on deployed capital
2.4M
Total borrowers reached across executed transactions
70K+
Additional borrowers unlocked through guarantee structures
DEPLOYED
Guarantee Amount by Transaction Structure
PKR millions · Risk architecture per executed deal
ARCHITECTURE
Risk Structure Breakdown
First-loss, second-loss, pari-passu and blended layers
Executed Transaction Register
All live guarantees · status as of March 2025
Partner FIGuarantee (PKR Mn)StructureFocus AreaBorrowersStatus
BIPL Agri-Finance100Second-LossAgricultural Finance15,000● Live
BIPL Long-Term Agri100First-LossMechanisation & Solar8,000● Live
HBL Microfinance Bank1,500Pari-PassuMicrofinance Portfolio500,000● Live
PMIC Microfinance1,000Pari-PassuMFI On-Lending Network300,000● Live
UNIDO Blended Finance200BlendedSindh Rural Enterprises1,000● Live
PKR 10.7B
Total pipeline value across 8 initiatives
56%
Near-final stage — PKR 6.0B ready for closure
9 FIs
Leading financial institutions with active bilaterals
3–4 mo
Expected near-term closures: PMIC, JS Bank, BAF
PIPELINE
Pipeline by Institution (PKR Mn)
Amounts under active development · not yet executed
STAGE
Pipeline by Approval Stage
Distribution of PKR 10.7B across deal stages
Pipeline Transaction Register
8 active initiatives across 9 financial institutions · mixed approval stages
InstitutionAmount (PKR Mn)StageFocus AreaExpected Closure
Meezan Bank2,500In DiscussionSME FinanceQ3 2025
JS Bank2,000Near-FinalMFI On-LendingQ2 2025
Bank Al Falah2,000Near-FinalDigital + Agri FinanceQ2 2025
UBL1,500Early StageAgricultural EnhancementQ3 2025
HBL Financial Institutions1,000Legal ReviewMFI Network LendingQ2 2025
PMIC (Extended)1,000Near-FinalLayered Risk StructureQ2 2025
Daewoo Motors500EvaluationEV Fleet TransitionQ4 2025
BIPL (Additional)200DocumentationAgricultural ScalingQ2 2025
70K+
Additional borrowers reached across all executed transactions
40–60%
Women participation targets embedded in all facilities
PKR 3.5T
Total lending mobilised — 4× guarantee coverage ratio
5
Thematic product areas addressing structural credit gaps
BORROWERS
Additional Borrowers Reached by Transaction
Direct developmental outreach from each executed guarantee
THEMATIC
Thematic Product Portfolio
5 guarantee structures targeting structural market failures
Invoice Discounting & Supply Chain

Risk-sharing for anchor-led vendor finance via SECP STR, unlocking SME working capital while formalising value chains.

Platform-Based Digital Lending

Guarantees for Fintech-enabled portfolios — ecosystem supplier finance, digital SME lending — through Habal and VISA partnerships.

Pre/Post-Shipment Export Finance

Credit guarantees for export-oriented SMEs in partnership with EXIM Bank, strengthening export value chains.

Formal Inclusion Women-Led Climate Action Agri Value Chain
Capital Efficiency & Leverage Metrics
Deployed capital vs. lending mobilised — prudential performance
TRAJECTORY
2025 Cumulative Deployment Trajectory
Path to PKR 15+ billion active guarantee portfolio

Q2 2025 Target

JS Bank, BAF, PMIC closure
+PKR 5.0B new commitments
Cumulative: PKR 7.5B

Q3 2025 Target

Meezan, HBL FI, UBL completion
+PKR 5.0B new commitments
Cumulative: PKR 12.5B

Q4 2025 Target

EXIM export fin., Daewoo EV
+PKR 2.5B new commitments
Cumulative: PKR 15.0B

Strategic Recommendations for 2025: Unlocking the Next Phase

  • Expand Guarantee Capital: Current deployed base (PKR 2.5B) with active pipeline (PKR 10.7B) requires enhanced capital reflows. Recommend recapitalisation of PKR 2–3B to sustain institutional momentum and enable near-term pipeline closures.
  • Institutionalise Platform Partnerships: SECP STR integration, Habal–VISA digital lending, and EXIM pre/post-shipment finance require coordination support. Recommend a dedicated ecosystem orchestration cell.
  • Scale Rural Blended Finance: UNIDO Sindh model (grant + guarantee + debt) demonstrates replicability. Recommend scaling to 3–4 additional underserved provinces leveraging provincial PSDP budgets.
  • Strengthen Data & Analytics: Build NCGCL’s internal research capacity to generate market intelligence on agri-credit gaps, MSME underleverage, and digital lending readiness to inform product innovation.
  • Leverage Insurance Partnerships: Mandatory Takaful coverage (BIPL facilities) and weather-indexed insurance should be systematised across the portfolio to deepen protection and FI confidence.
Institutional Positioning: Competitive Differentiation
NCGCL’s unique position as Pakistan’s catalytic finance platform
Guarantee Architecture

First-loss, second-loss, pari-passu, mezzanine, and blended finance structures move beyond vanilla guarantees toward sophisticated risk-sharing aligned with Basel III capital frameworks.

Market Coverage

Bilaterals with 9 leading FIs spanning banks, MFBs, and microfinance networks, creating a platform distributing products across agri, MSME, microfinance, and digital lending.

Ecosystem Orchestration

Active coordination with SECP, EXIM Bank, UNIDO, provincial PSDP, and fintech partners creates network effects and systemic developmental impact beyond direct guarantee deployment.