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Execution and Pipeline Update






NCGCL · Execution & Pipeline Update


NCGCL · Execution & Pipeline Update

Guarantee Deployment · Pipeline Momentum · Developmental Impact · March 2025

Portfolio Snapshot
PKR 2.5B+ Deployed
PKR 10B+ Pipeline
9 Partner FIs
4 Live Transactions
March 2025

PKR 2.9B
Total Capital
Deployed
PKR 10.7B
Active
Pipeline
9
Partner
Financial Inst.
4
Live
Transactions




PKR 2.5B+
Guarantees deployed across 4 live transactions

3.5×
Average leverage ratio on deployed capital

2.4M
Total borrowers reached across executed transactions

70K+
Additional borrowers unlocked through guarantee structures

DEPLOYED
Guarantee Amount by Transaction Structure
PKR millions · Risk architecture per executed deal

ARCHITECTURE
Risk Structure Breakdown
First-loss, second-loss, pari-passu and blended layers

Executed Transaction Register
All live guarantees · status as of March 2025
Partner FI Guarantee (PKR Mn) Structure Focus Area Borrowers Status
BIPL Agri-Finance 100 Second-Loss Agricultural Finance 2,000 ● Live
BIPL Long-Term Agri 100 First-Loss Mechanisation & Solar 300 ● Live
HBL Microfinance Bank 1,500 Pari-Passu Microfinance Portfolio 30,000 ● Live
PMIC Microfinance 1,000 Pari-Passu MFI On-Lending Network 20,000 ● Live
UNIDO Blended Finance 80 Blended Sindh Rural Enterprises 1,000 ● Live

PKR 10.7B
Total pipeline value across 8 initiatives

56%
Near-final stage — PKR 6.0B ready for closure

9 FIs
Leading financial institutions with active bilaterals

3–4 mo
Expected near-term closures: PMIC, JS Bank, BAF

PIPELINE
Pipeline by Institution (PKR Mn)
Amounts under active development · not yet executed

STAGE
Pipeline by Approval Stage
Distribution of PKR 10.7B across deal stages

Pipeline Transaction Register
8 active initiatives across 9 financial institutions · mixed approval stages
Institution Amount (PKR Mn) Stage Focus Area Expected Closure
Meezan Bank 1,000 In Discussion SME Finance Q3 2025
JS Bank 2,000 Near-Final MFI On-Lending Q2 2025
Bank Al Falah 2,000 Near-Final Digital + Agri Finance Q2 2025
UBL 1,500 Early Stage Agricultural Enhancement Q3 2025
HBL Financial Institutions 1,000 Legal Review MFI Network Lending Q2 2025
PMIC (Extended) 1,000 Near-Final Layered Risk Structure Q2 2025
Daewoo Motors 500 Evaluation EV Fleet Transition Q4 2025
BIPL (Additional) 200 Documentation Agricultural Scaling Q2 2025

70K+
Additional borrowers reached across all executed transactions

40–60%
Women participation targets embedded in all facilities

PKR 3.5T
Total lending mobilised — 4× guarantee coverage ratio

5
Thematic product areas addressing structural credit gaps

BORROWERS
Additional Borrowers Reached by Transaction
Direct developmental outreach from each executed guarantee

THEMATIC
Thematic Product Portfolio
5 guarantee structures targeting structural market failures
Invoice Discounting & Supply Chain

Risk-sharing for anchor-led vendor finance via SECP STR, unlocking SME working capital while formalising value chains.

Platform-Based Digital Lending

Guarantees for Fintech-enabled portfolios — ecosystem supplier finance, digital SME lending — through Habal and VISA partnerships.

Pre/Post-Shipment Export Finance

Credit guarantees for export-oriented SMEs in partnership with EXIM Bank, strengthening export value chains.

Formal Inclusion
Women-Led
Climate Action
Agri Value Chain

Capital Efficiency & Leverage Metrics
Deployed capital vs. lending mobilised — prudential performance

TRAJECTORY
2025 Cumulative Deployment Trajectory
Path to PKR 15+ billion active guarantee portfolio

Q2 2025 Target

JS Bank, BAF, PMIC closure
+PKR 5.0B new commitments
Cumulative: PKR 7.5B

Q3 2025 Target

Meezan, HBL FI, UBL completion
+PKR 5.0B new commitments
Cumulative: PKR 12.5B

Q4 2025 Target

EXIM export fin., Daewoo EV
+PKR 2.5B new commitments
Cumulative: PKR 15.0B

Strategic Recommendations for 2025: Unlocking the Next Phase

  • Expand Guarantee Capital: Current deployed base (PKR 2.5B) with active pipeline (PKR 10.7B) requires enhanced capital reflows. Recommend recapitalisation of PKR 2–3B to sustain institutional momentum and enable near-term pipeline closures.
  • Institutionalise Platform Partnerships: SECP STR integration, Habal–VISA digital lending, and EXIM pre/post-shipment finance require coordination support. Recommend a dedicated ecosystem orchestration cell.
  • Scale Rural Blended Finance: UNIDO Sindh model (grant + guarantee + debt) demonstrates replicability. Recommend scaling to 3–4 additional underserved provinces leveraging provincial PSDP budgets.
  • Strengthen Data & Analytics: Build NCGCL’s internal research capacity to generate market intelligence on agri-credit gaps, MSME underleverage, and digital lending readiness to inform product innovation.
  • Leverage Insurance Partnerships: Mandatory Takaful coverage (BIPL facilities) and weather-indexed insurance should be systematised across the portfolio to deepen protection and FI confidence.
Institutional Positioning: Competitive Differentiation
NCGCL’s unique position as Pakistan’s catalytic finance platform
Guarantee Architecture

First-loss, second-loss, pari-passu, mezzanine, and blended finance structures move beyond vanilla guarantees toward sophisticated risk-sharing aligned with Basel III capital frameworks.

Market Coverage

Bilaterals with 9 leading FIs spanning banks, MFBs, and microfinance networks, creating a platform distributing products across agri, MSME, microfinance, and digital lending.

Ecosystem Orchestration

Active coordination with SECP, EXIM Bank, UNIDO, provincial PSDP, and fintech partners creates network effects and systemic developmental impact beyond direct guarantee deployment.